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Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Golden Gate Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12021010422 · Collier, FL · pop 4,116

With a score of 5.6/10, tract 12021010422 in Golden Gate, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,116. Severe burden reaches 49%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 19% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,225
Renter share72.5%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$45,694

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Golden Gate
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 108 tracts In Collier
Very High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#360 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#22,681 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Golden Gate and the region

Centroid at 26.1967, -81.6965 · click any tract to drill in

Why Golden Gate scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Golden Gate
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,562 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Golden Gate
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Golden Gate
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Golden Gate
7.5

How Golden Gate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Golden Gate risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0104224.2Golden Gateparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Golden Gate

Against Collier County at 52.8%, roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $45,694, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 30.4% against 11.3% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. It sits 1.9 points above the Collier County average of 3.7.

This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,562, 9% below the Golden Gate average. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.9/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12021010422

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12021010422?

Census tract 12021010422 in Golden Gate scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12021010422?

Median gross rent is $1,562/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12021010422?

13.8% of residents in tract 12021010422 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,116.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12021010422?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 53th, minority 83th, housing 56th.
Q5

How does tract 12021010422 compare to Golden Gate overall?

Tract 12021010422 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Golden Gate at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Golden Gate; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Golden Gate

Top eight tracts in Golden Gate ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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