Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Keylan Cove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ensley
Tract 12033003203 · Escambia, FL · pop 4,690 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 4.4/10, tract 12033003203 in the Keylan Cove area of Ensley, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,690 residents. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,087
Renter share33.3%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$52,936
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ensley and the region
Centroid at 30.5068, -87.2977 · click any tract to drill in
Why Keylan Cove scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ensley
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,338 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ensley
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ensley
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ensley
6.9
How Keylan Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 41Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.2%Peak (2007)
- 6Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 4 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Keylan Cove
Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
Cost burden runs 57% here against 47.1% across Escambia County. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.
Court records carry 41 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2007, when 3.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Escambia County average of 4.2 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,338, close to the Ensley average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $52,936.
33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12033003203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12033003203?
Census tract 12033003203 in the Keylan Cove neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12033003203?
Median gross rent is $1,338/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12033003203?
12.9% of residents in tract 12033003203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,690.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12033003203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 87th, minority 68th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 12033003203 considered part of Keylan Cove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12033003203 fall within Keylan Cove (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12033003203?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12033003203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.32% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12033003203 compare to Ensley overall?
Tract 12033003203 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Ensley at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ensley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ensley
Top eight tracts in Ensley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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