Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Keylan Cove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ensley
Tract 12033003203 · Escambia, FL · pop 4,690 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 12033003203, home to 4,690 residents in the Keylan Cove neighborhood of Ensley, scores 5.3/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 50th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,338 monthly, set against $52,936 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,087
Renter share33.3%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$52,936
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ensley and the region
Centroid at 30.5068, -87.2977 · click any tract to drill in
Why Keylan Cove scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ensley
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,338 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ensley
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ensley
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ensley
6.9
How Keylan Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 41Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.2%Peak (2007)
- 6Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 4 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Keylan Cove
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ensley, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Escambia County average of 4.9 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 41 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 2.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.2% of renter households in 2007.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12033003203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12033003203?
Census tract 12033003203 in the Keylan Cove neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12033003203?
Median gross rent is $1,338/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12033003203?
12.9% of residents in tract 12033003203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,690.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12033003203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 87th, minority 68th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 12033003203 considered part of Keylan Cove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12033003203 fall within Keylan Cove (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12033003203?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12033003203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.32% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12033003203 compare to Ensley overall?
Tract 12033003203 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Ensley at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ensley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ensley
Top eight tracts in Ensley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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