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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Del Rio Eviction Risk: Moderate , East Lake-Orient Park

Tract 12057000902 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,459 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 12057000902 in the Del Rio area of Tampa, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,459 residents. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 32% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units2,280
Renter share77.5%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate30.2%
Median income$38,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Del Rio
Very High
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 104 tracts In East Lake-Orient Park
High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#53 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across East Lake-Orient Park and the region

Centroid at 28.0243, -82.4065 · click any tract to drill in

Why Del Rio scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.2% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$1,185 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
3.5

How Del Rio compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Del Rio risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0009024.0East Lake-Orient Pparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,384Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 16.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.5%Peak (2011)
  • 203Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057000902
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,588Total filings 2020-21
  • 21.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 14.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.47×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Del Rio. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Del Rio

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $38,500, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Average gross rent is $1,185, 30% below the Tampa average. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%. It sits 1.2 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. Court records carry 2,384 eviction filings across 11 observed years.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.4% against 11.3% nationally. The worst year on record was 2011, when 15.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 16.3% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057000902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057000902?

Census tract 12057000902 in the Del Rio neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057000902?

Median gross rent is $1,185/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057000902?

30.2% of residents in tract 12057000902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,459.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057000902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 46th, minority 84th, housing 61th.
Q5

Is tract 12057000902 considered part of Del Rio?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057000902 fall within Del Rio (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057000902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,384 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057000902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.33% of renter households, peaking at 15.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057000902 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.47× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057000902 compare to East Lake-Orient Park overall?

Tract 12057000902 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of East Lake-Orient Park at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Lake-Orient Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Lake-Orient Park

Top eight tracts in East Lake-Orient Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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