Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Southeast Seminole Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa
Tract 12057002100 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,509 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 12057002100 covers part of the Southeast Seminole Heights area of Tampa, FL, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,509 residents. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,212
Renter share22.8%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$43,904
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9888, -82.4471 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southeast Seminole Heights scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,635 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Southeast Seminole Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 37%Grade B
- 26%Grade C
- 29%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 428Total filings over 11 yrs
- 13.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.6%Peak (2000)
- 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 52% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 95Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.63×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southeast Seminole Heights
Set annual rent against average income of $43,904 and the ratio lands at 45%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 428 evictions over 11 years of observation. Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10. The worst year on record was 2000, when 21.6% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 13.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.9/10.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057002100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057002100?
Census tract 12057002100 in the Southeast Seminole Heights neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057002100?
Median gross rent is $1,635/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057002100?
14.4% of residents in tract 12057002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,509.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057002100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 33th, minority 64th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 12057002100 considered part of Southeast Seminole Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057002100 fall within Southeast Seminole Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057002100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 428 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057002100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.20% of renter households, peaking at 21.6% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057002100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.63× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057002100 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057002100 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12057002100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Capitano
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Mills
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
El Valle de Tampa
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Oakridge
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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