Capitano Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa
Tract 12057003600 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,669 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 12057003600 in the Capitano area of Tampa, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,669. 33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9771, -82.4037 · click any tract to drill in
Why Capitano scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Capitano compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 18%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 590Total filings over 11 yrs
- 9.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.5%Peak (2015)
- 86Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 356Total filings 2020-21
- 4.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
What drives eviction risk in Capitano
Annualized rent equals 47% of average household income of $37,305, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.9% against 11.3% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 590 filings here across 11 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,447, 15% below the Tampa average. The worst year on record was 2015, when 10.5% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 9.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 12057003600
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057003600?
What is the average rent in tract 12057003600?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057003600?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057003600?
Is tract 12057003600 considered part of Capitano?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057003600?
Did eviction filings in tract 12057003600 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12057003600 compare to Tampa overall?
Was tract 12057003600 historically redlined?
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