Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Capitano Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa
Tract 12057003600 ·
Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,669 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.1/10 for census tract 12057003600 reflects conditions in the Capitano neighborhood of Tampa, Florida. That is riskier than roughly 43% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
61% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,447 monthly, set against $37,305 in average yearly household income, roughly 47% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%Stable renters 14%Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,655
Renter share36.5%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate25.5%
Median income$37,305
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Capitano
Moderate
Within parent city
85th percentile
#17 of 104 tracts In Tampa
High
Within county
95th percentile
#19 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very High
Within state
95th percentile
#279 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9771, -82.4037 · click any tract to drill in
Why Capitano scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.5% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,447 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Capitano compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
99%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
91%Racial/ethnic minority
90%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
18%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
590Total filings over 11 yrs
9.50%Avg annual filing rate
10.5%Peak (2015)
86Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2016
Filings climbed 62% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
356Total filings 2020-21
4.9Avg monthly (observed)
7.1Pre-pandemic baseline
0.69×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Capitano
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tampa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.69x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 18% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057003600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057003600?
Census tract 12057003600 in the Capitano neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057003600?
Median gross rent is $1,447/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057003600?
25.5% of residents in tract 12057003600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,669.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057003600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 98th, minority 91th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 12057003600 considered part of Capitano?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057003600 fall within Capitano (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057003600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 590 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057003600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.50% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057003600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057003600 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057003600 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12057003600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 18% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.