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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Davis Islands Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa

Tract 12057005302 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,914 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

12057005302 is a census tract in the Davis Islands area of Tampa, FL. It scores 5/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,914. Adults with no health insurance runs 31.0% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 21% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units745
Renter share54.2%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$46,058

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Davis Islands
Moderate
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#42 of 104 tracts In Tampa
Elevated
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#90 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Elevated
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#1,051 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 27.9234, -82.4369 · click any tract to drill in

Why Davis Islands scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,266 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Davis Islands compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Davis Islands risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 0053024.0Tampaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 197Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 6.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.5%Peak (2016)
  • 29Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057005302
Filings climbed 142% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 117Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.74×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Davis Islands

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.4/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $46,058, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. At $1,266 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Tampa commands.

Court records carry 197 eviction filings across 11 observed years. It sits 0.8 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. Filings peaked in 2016 at 6.5% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 6.0% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057005302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057005302?

Census tract 12057005302 in the Davis Islands neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057005302?

Median gross rent is $1,266/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057005302?

14.7% of residents in tract 12057005302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,914.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057005302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 36th, minority 82th, housing 44th.
Q5

Is tract 12057005302 considered part of Davis Islands?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057005302 fall within Davis Islands (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057005302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 197 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057005302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.00% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057005302 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.74× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057005302 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057005302 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12057005302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 14% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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