Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Davis Islands Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa
Tract 12057005302 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,914 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 12057005302 sits in Davis Islands in Tampa eviction risk, Florida eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. That is riskier than about 33% of US census tracts.
About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,266 a month while the average household earns $46,058 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units745
Renter share54.2%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$46,058
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9234, -82.4369 · click any tract to drill in
Why Davis Islands scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,266 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Davis Islands compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 14%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 197Total filings over 11 yrs
- 6.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2016)
- 29Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 142% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 117Total filings 2020-21
- 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.74×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Davis Islands
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tampa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 197 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 6.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.5% of renter households in 2016.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.74x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057005302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057005302?
Census tract 12057005302 in the Davis Islands neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057005302?
Median gross rent is $1,266/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057005302?
14.7% of residents in tract 12057005302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,914.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057005302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 36th, minority 82th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 12057005302 considered part of Davis Islands?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057005302 fall within Davis Islands (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057005302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 197 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057005302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.00% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057005302 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.74× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057005302 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057005302 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12057005302 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 14% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Oaks
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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Altos Verdes
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altamira Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Alameda
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Vedado
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Del Rio
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Tampa Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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