Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Al Mar Eviction Risk: Lower , Tampa
Tract 12057006700 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,986 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 12057006700 sits in the Al Mar area of Tampa eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 5,986. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,327
Renter share31.4%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$143,942
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
21
th percentile
Low
Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9010, -82.4990 · click any tract to drill in
Why Al Mar scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,810 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Al Mar compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 26%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 147Total filings over 11 yrs
- 1.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2010)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 34Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Al Mar. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Al Mar
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Cost burden runs 44% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County. It sits 1.2 points below the Hillsborough County average of 4.2.
The filing record is not thin: 147 evictions over 11 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2010, when 5.4% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 3.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $143,942, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057006700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057006700?
Census tract 12057006700 in the Al Mar neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057006700?
Median gross rent is $1,810/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057006700?
2.6% of residents in tract 12057006700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,986.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057006700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 53th, minority 48th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 12057006700 considered part of Al Mar?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057006700 fall within Al Mar (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057006700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 147 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057006700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.99% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057006700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057006700 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057006700 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12057006700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Alameda
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Armenia Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Miranda
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Fiorito
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Almima
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Altamira Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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