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Neighborhood · Tampa, FL

Al Mar Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 10,359 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3–3.8

Al Mar takes in 2 census tracts of Tampa, FL, population 10,359. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Tampa baseline of 33.5%, 46% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.4/10.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. Court records carry 380 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2010 at 5.7% of renter households.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. The most recent observed rate, 1.5% in 2016, is well off that peak.

Among the 70 mapped neighborhoods of Tampa, it ranks #53 by risk, the lower third. For a like-for-like read, Rattlesnake and Dana Shores score within a fraction of it. Against average income of $111,593, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0.8 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Average gross rent runs $1,669, close to the Tampa average.

With little internal variation, 3.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Al Mar vs Tampa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.5% +36%
Tampa: 33.5%
Average gross rent
$1,669 -2%
Tampa: $1,701
Average HH income
$111,593 +57%
Tampa: $71,302
Poverty rate
4.8% -70%
Tampa: 15.9%
Renter share
33.9% -32%
Tampa: 49.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Al Mar and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3.8

Why Al Mar scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
4.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.0 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–4.2 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Al Mar vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Al Mar score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.3Al MarNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Al Mar

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057006600 3.8 4,373 48% $1,475
12057006700 3 5,986 44% $1,810
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 30%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 55%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 49%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 59%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Al Mar

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 380Total filings (sum)
  • 2.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.7%Peak year (2010)
  • 1.58%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 93Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.6Avg monthly observed
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.60×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Al Mar

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Al Mar?

Al Mar scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Al Mar compare to Tampa overall?

Al Mar scores 0.7 points lower than Tampa overall (4/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,669 vs $1,701.
Q3

What is the average rent in Al Mar?

Average gross rent in Al Mar is $1,669/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Al Mar residents are renters?

34% of Al Mar households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Tampa). The neighborhood has 10,359 residents.
Q5

Is Al Mar a high social-vulnerability area?

Al Mar sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Al Mar have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Al Mar is census tract 12057006600 (score 3.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.8, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Al Mar for landlords?

Al Mar carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tampa as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Al Mar?

Al Mar has 10,510 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.4%), Hispanic / Latino (18.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Al Mar

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tampa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Al Mar.

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