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Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Allerton Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Tampa

Tract 12057006802 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,094 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 12057006802 sits in the Allerton Park area of Tampa eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. It is home to 3,094 residents. 23% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 16% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,620
Renter share20.2%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$92,198

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Allerton Park
Moderate
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#74 of 104 tracts In Tampa
Low
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#225 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Low
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#3,121 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 27.8864, -82.4868 · click any tract to drill in

Why Allerton Park scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,557 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Allerton Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Allerton Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 0068024.0Tampaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 123Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 2.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.4%Peak (2000)
  • 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057006802
Filings dropped 91% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 39Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.13×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Allerton Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Allerton Park

The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 123 evictions over 11 years of observation.

Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Filings peaked in 2000 at 4.4% of renter households.

At $1,557 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Tampa commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057006802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057006802?

Census tract 12057006802 in the Allerton Park neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057006802?

Median gross rent is $1,557/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057006802?

9.4% of residents in tract 12057006802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,094.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057006802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 35th, minority 48th, housing 61th.
Q5

Is tract 12057006802 considered part of Allerton Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057006802 fall within Allerton Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057006802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 123 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057006802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.20% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057006802 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057006802 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057006802 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12057006802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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