Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
The Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , University
Tract 12057010809 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,393 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.9/10 for census tract 12057010809 reflects conditions in the The Oaks area of University, Florida. That is riskier than about 72% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,319 monthly, set against $53,068 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 71% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,066
Renter share71.5%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate25.5%
Median income$53,068
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across University and the region
Centroid at 28.0600, -82.3986 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Oaks scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.5% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,319 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from University
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from University
6.6
How The Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 365Total filings over 11 yrs
- 4.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.4%Peak (2002)
- 32Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 198Total filings 2020-21
- 2.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.97×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Oaks
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from University, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 365 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 4.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.4% of renter households in 2002.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057010809
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010809?
Census tract 12057010809 in the The Oaks neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057010809?
Median gross rent is $1,319/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010809?
25.5% of residents in tract 12057010809 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,393.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010809?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 12th, minority 71th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 12057010809 considered part of The Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010809 fall within The Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057010809?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 365 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057010809 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.65% of renter households, peaking at 8.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057010809 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.97× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057010809 compare to University overall?
Tract 12057010809 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of University at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University
Top eight tracts in University ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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