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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

The Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , University

Tract 12057010819 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,973 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 12057010819 covers part of the The Oaks area of University, FL, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,973. 84% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 10% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units794
Renter share64.1%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate31.0%
Median income$40,393

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In The Oaks
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 14 tracts In University
Very Low
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#124 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,528 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across University and the region

Centroid at 28.0761, -82.4120 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Oaks scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from University
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
31.0% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$1,304 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from University
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University
1.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from University
1.0

How The Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0108193.2Universityparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 130Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.92×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Oaks

Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $40,393, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, housing-court posture reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10. The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,304 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of University commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057010819

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010819?

Census tract 12057010819 in the The Oaks neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057010819?

Median gross rent is $1,304/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010819?

31.0% of residents in tract 12057010819 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,973.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010819?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 25th, minority 72th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 12057010819 considered part of The Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010819 fall within The Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12057010819 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.92× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12057010819 compare to University overall?

Tract 12057010819 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of University at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in University

Top eight tracts in University ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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