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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

The Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , University

Tract 12057010819 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,973 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

How risky is the The Oaks neighborhood of University for landlords? Census tract 12057010819 scores 4.9/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 36th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 84% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,304 a month while the average household earns $40,393 a year, roughly 39% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 10% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units794
Renter share64.1%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate31.0%
Median income$40,393

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 7 tracts In The Oaks
Low
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#10 of 14 tracts In University
Low
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
High
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#596 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across University and the region

Centroid at 28.0761, -82.4120 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Oaks scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from University
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
31.0% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$1,304 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from University
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University
1.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from University
1.0

How The Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 010819University: 2.32.3Universityparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 130Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.92×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2020-02-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2020-11-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2020-12-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2021-01-01: 5 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2021-03-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2021-09-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2021-11-01: 8 filings (3.56× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2022-01-01: 5 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-06-01: 6 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 10 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-05-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-10-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Oaks

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 7.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from University, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.92x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057010819

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010819?

Census tract 12057010819 in the The Oaks neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057010819?

Median gross rent is $1,304/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010819?

31.0% of residents in tract 12057010819 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,973.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010819?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 25th, minority 72th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 12057010819 considered part of The Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010819 fall within The Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12057010819 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.92× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12057010819 compare to University overall?

Tract 12057010819 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of University at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in University

Top eight tracts in University ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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