Within neighborhood
17
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
The Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , University
Tract 12057010820 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,742 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The The Oaks neighborhood of University anchors census tract 12057010820, which lands at 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 36th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
71% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,202 a month while the average household earns $44,783 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 100% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 71%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,338
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate32.3%
Median income$44,783
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
39
th percentile
Low
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across University and the region
Centroid at 28.0754, -82.4201 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Oaks scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.3% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
$1,202 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from University
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University
1.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from University
1.0
How The Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 992Total filings 2020-21
- 13.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.92×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Oaks
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from University, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.92x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057010820
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010820?
Census tract 12057010820 in the The Oaks neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057010820?
Median gross rent is $1,202/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010820?
32.3% of residents in tract 12057010820 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,742.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010820?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 7th, minority 56th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 12057010820 considered part of The Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010820 fall within The Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057010820 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.92× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057010820 compare to University overall?
Tract 12057010820 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of University at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University
Top eight tracts in University ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Tampa Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Related