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Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Deer Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Lutz

Tract 12057011005 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,789 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

The Deer Park neighborhood of Lutz anchors census tract 12057011005, which lands at 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 43rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,923 monthly, set against $134,429 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 8% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 4% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,040
Renter share7.9%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$134,429

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Deer Park
Moderate
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Lutz
Elevated
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#308 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very Low
Within state
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#4,735 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lutz and the region

Centroid at 28.1533, -82.4520 · click any tract to drill in

Why Deer Park scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lutz
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,923 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lutz
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lutz
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lutz
5.2

How Deer Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Deer Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.71.7This tracttract 011005Lutz: 2.12.1Lutzparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 30Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 4.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.5%Peak (2010)
  • 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570110052000: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (1.62/100 renter HHs)2003: 2 filings (3.24/100 renter HHs)2004: 3 filings (4.86/100 renter HHs)2005: 1 filings (1.67/100 renter HHs)2009: 5 filings (8.37/100 renter HHs)2010: 7 filings (7.45/100 renter HHs)2011: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2015: 4 filings (3.74/100 renter HHs)2016: 7 filings (7.95/100 renter HHs)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 16Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.56×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Deer Park

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lutz, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.56x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057011005

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011005?

Census tract 12057011005 in the Deer Park neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057011005?

Median gross rent is $1,923/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011005?

8.3% of residents in tract 12057011005 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,789.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011005?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 88th, minority 45th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 12057011005 considered part of Deer Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011005 fall within Deer Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011005?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 12057011005 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.86% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057011005 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.56× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057011005 compare to Lutz overall?

Tract 12057011005 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Lutz at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lutz; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lutz

Top eight tracts in Lutz ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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