Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
Turtle Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Northdale
Tract 12057011411 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,276 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 12057011411, home to 2,276 residents in Turtle Creek in Northdale, scores 3.9/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #74,998 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
0% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,739 a month while the average household earns $92,415 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units692
Renter share11.1%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$92,415
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
15
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Northdale and the region
Centroid at 28.0858, -82.5455 · click any tract to drill in
Why Turtle Creek scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Northdale
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,739 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northdale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northdale
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northdale
6.0
How Turtle Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 32Total filings over 10 yrs
- 4.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2009)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 18Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.09×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Turtle Creek
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Northdale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 32 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 4.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.6% of renter households in 2009.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011411
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011411?
Census tract 12057011411 in the Turtle Creek neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011411?
Median gross rent is $1,739/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011411?
4.5% of residents in tract 12057011411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,276.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011411?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 38th, minority 73th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011411 considered part of Turtle Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011411 fall within Turtle Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011411?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 32 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12057011411 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.67% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011411 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.09× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011411 compare to Northdale overall?
Tract 12057011411 scores 2.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Northdale at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Northdale
Top eight tracts in Northdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12057011524
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Lakeview at Calusa Trace
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Arlington
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12057011514
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · FL
12057011515
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · FL
Reflections
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · FL
Armistead Manor
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
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