1 census tracts · pop 2,276 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Turtle Creek is a one-tract neighborhood of Northdale, FL, population 2,276. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 1/10.
Running cool is economic stress, at 1.1/10. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 32 evictions logged in this tract.
The worst year on record was 2009, when filings touched 4.6% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 4.0% in 2016 against a 4.6% peak.
Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Armistead Manor and Lakeview at Calusa Trace.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $1,739, close to the Northdale average.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $92,415.
One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Turtle Creek vs NorthdaleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Turtle Creek
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
32Total filings (sum)
4.67%Avg annual filing rate
4.6%Peak year (2009)
3.95%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
18Total filings 2020-21
0.3Avg monthly observed
0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
1.09×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).
Frequently asked
About Turtle Creek
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Turtle Creek?
Turtle Creek scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Turtle Creek compare to Northdale overall?
Turtle Creek scores 1.0 points lower than Northdale overall (4/10). Renters spend 0% of income on rent vs 42% citywide. Average rent: $1,739 vs $1,797.
Q3
What is the average rent in Turtle Creek?
Average gross rent in Turtle Creek is $1,739/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Turtle Creek residents are renters?
11% of Turtle Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Northdale). The neighborhood has 2,276 residents.
Q5
Is Turtle Creek a high social-vulnerability area?
Turtle Creek sits in the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Turtle Creek for landlords?
Turtle Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Northdale as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Turtle Creek?
Turtle Creek has 2,224 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (58.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (35.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
