Neighborhood · Northdale, FL

Turtle Creek Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,276 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.1/10 · range 2.1–2.1

Turtle Creek is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Northdale with 1 census tract and a population of 2,276 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 0% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 0% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,739/month sits 3% lower than the Northdale citywide average ($1,797).

Risk score

2.1

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Turtle Creek vs Northdale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

0.0% -100%

Northdale: 41.6%

Average gross rent

$1,739 -3%

Northdale: $1,797

Average HH income

$92,415 +1%

Northdale: $91,656

Poverty rate

4.5% -29%

Northdale: 6.3%

Renter share

11.1% -59%

Northdale: 27.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Turtle Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.1–2.1

Why Turtle Creek scores 2.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Rent control risk

0% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Tenant organizing strength

11% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Economic stress

4.5% below poverty line · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts

1.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts

3.8

Risk score comparison

Turtle Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Turtle Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12057011411	2.1	2,276	0%	$1,739

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 38

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 23%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 38%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 50%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Turtle Creek

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

32Total filings (sum)
4.67%Avg annual filing rate
4.6%Peak year (2009)
3.95%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

18Total filings 2020-21
0.3Avg monthly observed
0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
1.09×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Turtle Creek

What is the eviction-risk score for Turtle Creek?

Turtle Creek scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Turtle Creek compare to Northdale overall?

Turtle Creek scores 0.0 points higher than Northdale overall (2.1/10). Renters spend 0% of income on rent vs 42% citywide. Average rent: $1,739 vs $1,797.

What is the average rent in Turtle Creek?

Average gross rent in Turtle Creek is $1,739/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Turtle Creek residents are renters?

11% of Turtle Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Northdale). The neighborhood has 2,276 residents.

Is Turtle Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Turtle Creek sits in the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Turtle Creek for landlords?

Turtle Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Northdale as a whole (2.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Turtle Creek?

Turtle Creek has 2,224 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (58.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (35.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Turtle Creek

2.4 Carrollwood Village 4 tracts · pop 15,279 2.4 Arlington 4 tracts · pop 12,496 2.3 Reflections 2 tracts · pop 6,963 2.6 All Bright Shores 3 tracts · pop 11,434 4.7 Ansley Park 3 tracts · pop 9,356 4 Armenia Heights 5 tracts · pop 21,968

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Northdale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Turtle Creek.

2.9 Lakeview at Calusa Trace 1 tracts · pop 6 1.2 Armistead Manor 1 tracts · pop 4,241

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