Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Rose Harbor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Citrus Park
Tract 12057011412 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,184 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 12057011412 in the Rose Harbor area of Citrus Park, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 44%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,427
Renter share49.6%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$66,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Citrus Park and the region
Centroid at 28.0592, -82.5762 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rose Harbor scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Citrus Park
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,575 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Citrus Park
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Citrus Park
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Citrus Park
6.7
How Rose Harbor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 327Total filings over 11 yrs
- 5.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2010)
- 26Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 68Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.57×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rose Harbor
around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.7/10.
Average gross rent is $1,575, 17% below the Citrus Park average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 327 filings here across 11 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2010 at 4.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $66,875.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011412
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011412?
Census tract 12057011412 in the Rose Harbor neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011412?
Median gross rent is $1,575/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011412?
14.5% of residents in tract 12057011412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,184.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011412?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 46th, minority 77th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011412 considered part of Rose Harbor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011412 fall within Rose Harbor (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011412?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 327 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011412 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.46% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011412 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011412 compare to Citrus Park overall?
Tract 12057011412 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Citrus Park at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Citrus Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Citrus Park
Top eight tracts in Citrus Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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