Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Arbor Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Citrus Park
Tract 12057011415 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,935 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 12057011415 in the Arbor Ridge area of Citrus Park, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,935. Cost burden runs 13% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,246
Renter share33.0%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$100,351
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Citrus Park and the region
Centroid at 28.0477, -82.5400 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arbor Ridge scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Citrus Park
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,772 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Citrus Park
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Citrus Park
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Citrus Park
6.7
How Arbor Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 255Total filings over 11 yrs
- 4.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.2%Peak (2005)
- 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 46% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 128Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.08×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arbor Ridge
Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.1/10.
Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Court records carry 255 eviction filings across 11 observed years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 6.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.9% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 3.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011415
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011415?
Census tract 12057011415 in the Arbor Ridge neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011415?
Median gross rent is $1,772/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011415?
8.4% of residents in tract 12057011415 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,935.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011415?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 8th, minority 72th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011415 considered part of Arbor Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011415 fall within Arbor Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011415?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 255 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011415 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.91% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011415 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.08× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011415 compare to Citrus Park overall?
Tract 12057011415 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Citrus Park at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Citrus Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Citrus Park
Top eight tracts in Citrus Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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