Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
Arbor Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Citrus Park
Tract 12057011415 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,935 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 12057011415 sits in Arbor Ridge in Citrus Park, Florida eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. It lands near the 19th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 13% of renter households, a modest level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,772 monthly, set against $100,351 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,246
Renter share33.0%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$100,351
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Citrus Park and the region
Centroid at 28.0477, -82.5400 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arbor Ridge scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Citrus Park
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,772 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Citrus Park
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Citrus Park
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Citrus Park
6.7
How Arbor Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 255Total filings over 11 yrs
- 4.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.2%Peak (2005)
- 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 46% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 128Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.08×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arbor Ridge
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Citrus Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 255 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 4.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.2% of renter households in 2005.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011415
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011415?
Census tract 12057011415 in the Arbor Ridge neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011415?
Median gross rent is $1,772/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011415?
8.4% of residents in tract 12057011415 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,935.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011415?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 8th, minority 72th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011415 considered part of Arbor Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011415 fall within Arbor Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011415?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 255 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011415 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.91% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011415 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.08× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011415 compare to Citrus Park overall?
Tract 12057011415 scores 2.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Citrus Park at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Citrus Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Citrus Park
Top eight tracts in Citrus Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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