Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally
Armistead Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Northdale
Tract 12057011512 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,241 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Here is how census tract 12057011512, in the Armistead Manor area of Northdale, looks to a landlord: a 5.2/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 4,241. That is riskier than about 47% of US census tracts.
72% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,605 a month while the average household earns $137,056 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,494
Renter share10.8%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$137,056
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
1
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Northdale and the region
Centroid at 28.1111, -82.5544 · click any tract to drill in
Why Armistead Manor scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Northdale
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,605 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northdale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northdale
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northdale
6.0
How Armistead Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 25Total filings over 9 yrs
- 2.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.9%Peak (2002)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 17Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.42×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Armistead Manor
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Northdale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 25 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 3.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.9% of renter households in 2002.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011512
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011512?
Census tract 12057011512 in the Armistead Manor neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011512?
Median gross rent is $1,605/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011512?
2.6% of residents in tract 12057011512 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,241.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011512?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 79th, minority 38th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011512 considered part of Armistead Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011512 fall within Armistead Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011512?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12057011512 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.95% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011512 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.42× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011512 compare to Northdale overall?
Tract 12057011512 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Northdale at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Northdale
Top eight tracts in Northdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related