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Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally

Winthrop Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Bloomingdale

Tract 12057013411 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,303 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 5.1/10, tract 12057013411 in the Winthrop Village neighborhood of Bloomingdale ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,303 residents. On the national scale it ranks #47,770 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,151 monthly, set against $79,087 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 14% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,386
Renter share28.6%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$79,087

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Winthrop Village
Very Low
Within parent city
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 16 tracts In Bloomingdale
Moderate
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#270 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very Low
Within state
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#4,102 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bloomingdale and the region

Centroid at 27.8867, -82.3099 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winthrop Village scores 2.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bloomingdale
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,151 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bloomingdale
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bloomingdale
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bloomingdale
6.0

How Winthrop Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winthrop Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.32.3This tracttract 013411Bloomingdale: 2.52.5Bloomingdaleparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 116Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 3.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.4%Peak (2009)
  • 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570134112000: 8 filings (2.31/100 renter HHs)2001: 5 filings (1.45/100 renter HHs)2002: 16 filings (4.63/100 renter HHs)2003: 12 filings (3.47/100 renter HHs)2004: 9 filings (2.60/100 renter HHs)2005: 8 filings (1.59/100 renter HHs)2009: 17 filings (3.39/100 renter HHs)2010: 12 filings (9.68/100 renter HHs)2011: 15 filings (5.79/100 renter HHs)2015: 8 filings (3.09/100 renter HHs)2016: 6 filings (3.11/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 57Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.09×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-02-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Winthrop Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winthrop Village

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bloomingdale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 116 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 3.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.4% of renter households in 2009.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.09x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013411

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013411?

Census tract 12057013411 in the Winthrop Village neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013411?

Median gross rent is $1,151/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013411?

4.4% of residents in tract 12057013411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,303.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013411?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 84th, minority 48th, housing 51th.
Q5

Is tract 12057013411 considered part of Winthrop Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013411 fall within Winthrop Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013411?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 116 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013411 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.74% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013411 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.09× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057013411 compare to Bloomingdale overall?

Tract 12057013411 scores 2.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Bloomingdale at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bloomingdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bloomingdale

Top eight tracts in Bloomingdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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