Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Alavista Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gibsonton
Tract 12057013802 ·
Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,487 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Alavista in Gibsonton anchors census tract 12057013802, which lands at 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 63% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,681 monthly, set against $61,458 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%Stable renters 21%Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,437
Renter share57.1%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate28.1%
Median income$61,458
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Alavista
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 4 tracts In Gibsonton
Very High
Within county
88th percentile
#42 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
High
Within state
88th percentile
#596 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gibsonton and the region
Centroid at 27.8532, -82.3514 · click any tract to drill in
Why Alavista scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gibsonton
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
28.1% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,681 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gibsonton
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gibsonton
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gibsonton
8.2
How Alavista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
87%Socioeconomic
38%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
378Total filings over 11 yrs
9.91%Avg annual filing rate
22.8%Peak (2002)
37Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2016
Filings dropped 21% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
176Total filings 2020-21
2.4Avg monthly (observed)
3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
0.72×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Alavista
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gibsonton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.72x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 378 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 9.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 22.8% of renter households in 2002.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013802?
Census tract 12057013802 in the Alavista neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013802?
Median gross rent is $1,681/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013802?
28.1% of residents in tract 12057013802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,487.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 38th, minority 65th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013802 considered part of Alavista?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013802 fall within Alavista (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 378 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.91% of renter households, peaking at 22.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013802 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057013802 compare to Gibsonton overall?
Tract 12057013802 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Gibsonton at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gibsonton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gibsonton
Top eight tracts in Gibsonton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.