Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Alavista Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gibsonton
Tract 12057013802 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,487 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
12057013802 is a census tract in the Alavista area of Gibsonton, FL. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,487 residents. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,437
Renter share57.1%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate28.1%
Median income$61,458
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gibsonton and the region
Centroid at 27.8532, -82.3514 · click any tract to drill in
Why Alavista scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gibsonton
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
28.1% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,681 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gibsonton
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gibsonton
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gibsonton
8.2
How Alavista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 378Total filings over 11 yrs
- 9.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.8%Peak (2002)
- 37Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 176Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.72×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Alavista
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $61,458, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $1,681, 21% above the Gibsonton average.
Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.5% against 11.3% nationally.
Court records carry 378 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 22.8% of renter households.
In a typical year about 9.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013802?
Census tract 12057013802 in the Alavista neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013802?
Median gross rent is $1,681/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013802?
28.1% of residents in tract 12057013802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,487.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 38th, minority 65th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013802 considered part of Alavista?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013802 fall within Alavista (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 378 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.91% of renter households, peaking at 22.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013802 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057013802 compare to Gibsonton overall?
Tract 12057013802 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Gibsonton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gibsonton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gibsonton
Top eight tracts in Gibsonton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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