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Neighborhood · Gibsonton, FL

Alavista Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,487 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Alavista maps to a single census tract in Gibsonton, FL and houses 3,487 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Gibsonton baseline of 37.0%, 64% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. On the high side is housing-court posture at 8.2/10.

Average gross rent is $1,681, 21% above the Gibsonton average of $1,386. The filing record is not thin: 378 evictions logged in this tract.

The worst year on record was 2002, when filings touched 22.8% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.8% in 2016, is well off that peak.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Allens and Alpine. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Alavista vs Gibsonton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
63.5% +72%
Gibsonton: 37.0%
Average gross rent
$1,681 +21%
Gibsonton: $1,386
Average HH income
$61,458 -17%
Gibsonton: $74,049
Poverty rate
28.1% +42%
Gibsonton: 19.8%
Renter share
57.1% +88%
Gibsonton: 30.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Alavista and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Alavista scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
64% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
57% renter households · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Economic stress
28.1% below poverty line · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Alavista vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Alavista score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4AlavistaNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Alavista

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057013802 5.4 3,487 63% $1,681
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 87%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 38%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Alavista

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 378Total filings (sum)
  • 9.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.8%Peak year (2002)
  • 4.76%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 176Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.4Avg monthly observed
  • 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.72×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Alavista

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Alavista?

Alavista scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Alavista compare to Gibsonton overall?

Alavista scores 1.4 points higher than Gibsonton overall (4/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $1,681 vs $1,386.
Q3

What is the average rent in Alavista?

Average gross rent in Alavista is $1,681/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Alavista residents are renters?

57% of Alavista households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Gibsonton). The neighborhood has 3,487 residents.
Q5

Is Alavista a high social-vulnerability area?

Alavista sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Alavista for landlords?

Alavista carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Gibsonton as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Alavista?

Alavista has 3,615 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (49.8%), Hispanic / Latino (32.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Alavista

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Gibsonton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Alavista.

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