Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Alpine Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gibsonton

Tract 12057013803 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,612 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.3/10 for census tract 12057013803 reflects conditions in Alpine in Gibsonton, Florida. On the national scale it ranks #41,674 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,031 monthly, set against $53,899 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 31% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units645
Renter share47.4%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$53,899

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Alpine
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Gibsonton
Low
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#80 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#989 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gibsonton and the region

Centroid at 27.8446, -82.3682 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alpine scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gibsonton
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,031 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gibsonton
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gibsonton
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gibsonton
8.2

How Alpine compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Alpine risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 013803Gibsonton: 2.62.6Gibsontonparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 222Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 8.71%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.0%Peak (2015)
  • 31Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570138032000: 18 filings (7.69/100 renter HHs)2001: 17 filings (7.27/100 renter HHs)2002: 24 filings (10.26/100 renter HHs)2003: 17 filings (7.27/100 renter HHs)2004: 22 filings (9.40/100 renter HHs)2005: 22 filings (13.50/100 renter HHs)2009: 7 filings (4.30/100 renter HHs)2010: 18 filings (6.64/100 renter HHs)2011: 12 filings (4.58/100 renter HHs)2015: 34 filings (12.98/100 renter HHs)2016: 31 filings (11.92/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 72% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 155Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.67×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2020-11-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-01-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2021-07-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (0.42× baseline)2021-09-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (3.20× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2022-07-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2022-09-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-11-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-12-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2023-03-01: 5 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-06-01: 5 filings (1.54× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2024-07-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-06-01: 5 filings (1.54× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-08-01: 2 filings (0.42× baseline)2025-09-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alpine

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gibsonton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.67x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013803

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013803?

Census tract 12057013803 in the Alpine neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013803?

Median gross rent is $1,031/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013803?

20.7% of residents in tract 12057013803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,612.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013803?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 79th, minority 69th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 12057013803 considered part of Alpine?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013803 fall within Alpine (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013803?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 222 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013803 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.71% of renter households, peaking at 13.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013803 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057013803 compare to Gibsonton overall?

Tract 12057013803 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Gibsonton at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gibsonton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gibsonton

Top eight tracts in Gibsonton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related