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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Bowling Green Eviction Risk: Lower , Fort Myers

Tract 12071001402 · Lee, FL · pop 3,198 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

12071001402 is a census tract in the Bowling Green area of Whiskey Creek, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,198 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 2% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,131
Renter share4.3%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$135,192

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Bowling Green
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Fort Myers
Very Low
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#203 of 222 tracts In Lee
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Myers and the region

Centroid at 26.5871, -81.8871 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bowling Green scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Myers
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,400 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Myers
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Myers
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Myers
3.9

How Bowling Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bowling Green risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 001402Fort Myers: 3.43.4Fort Myersparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bowling Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bowling Green

Average gross rent is $2,400, 32% above the Whiskey Creek average. The voucher gap is 30.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. Against Lee County at 52.2%, 47% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Against the Lee County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071001402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071001402?

Census tract 12071001402 in the Bowling Green neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12071001402?

Median gross rent is $2,400/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071001402?

3.4% of residents in tract 12071001402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,198.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071001402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 13th, minority 17th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 12071001402 considered part of Bowling Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071001402 fall within Bowling Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12071001402 compare to Fort Myers overall?

Tract 12071001402 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Fort Myers at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Myers eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Myers

Top eight tracts in Fort Myers ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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