Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Davis Eviction Risk: Moderate , Orlando
Tract 12095010300 ·
Orange, FL · pop 3,065 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 12095010300 in the Lake Davis area of Orlando, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,065. This is renter territory: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%Stable renters 41%Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units2,074
Renter share79.5%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate18.1%
Median income$52,297
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Lake Davis
Moderate
Within parent city
62th percentile
#30 of 77 tracts In Orlando
Elevated
Within county
76th percentile
#66 of 267 tracts In Orange
High
Within state
84th percentile
#809 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Orlando and the region
Centroid at 28.5338, -81.3688 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Davis scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orlando
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.1% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,518 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orlando
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orlando
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orlando
4.0
How Lake Davis compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
53%Socioeconomic
34%Household composition
50%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
273Total filings over 9 yrs
2.20%Avg annual filing rate
2.7%Peak (2000)
26Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2016
Filings dropped 30% over the past 9 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Davis
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $52,297, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Orange County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 273 filings here across 9 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,518, 13% below the Orlando average.
The worst year on record was 2000, when 2.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12095010300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095010300?
Census tract 12095010300 in the Lake Davis neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12095010300?
Median gross rent is $1,518/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12095010300?
18.1% of residents in tract 12095010300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,065.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12095010300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 34th, minority 50th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 12095010300 considered part of Lake Davis?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095010300 fall within Lake Davis (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095010300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 273 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095010300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.20% of renter households, peaking at 2.7% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12095010300 compare to Orlando overall?
Tract 12095010300 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Orlando at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orlando eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Orlando
Top eight tracts in Orlando ranked by composite eviction-risk score.