Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,295 of 84,120 nationally
Old Southeast Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103020400 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,306 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 12103020400 runs through the Old Southeast area of St. Petersburg. With 2,306 residents, it scores 4.4/10 for landlords. It lands near the 21st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,738 monthly, set against $88,611 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,020
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$88,611
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7484, -82.6290 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Southeast scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,738 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Old Southeast compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 54%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 660Total filings over 18 yrs
- 8.37%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.9%Peak (2005)
- 15Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 63% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 103Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.94×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Southeast
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 660 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 8.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.9% of renter households in 2005.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.94x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103020400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020400?
Census tract 12103020400 in the Old Southeast neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103020400?
Median gross rent is $1,738/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020400?
9.8% of residents in tract 12103020400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,306.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 30th, minority 54th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 12103020400 considered part of Old Southeast?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103020400 fall within Old Southeast (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103020400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 660 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103020400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.37% of renter households, peaking at 13.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103020400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103020400 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103020400 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103020400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Childs Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12103020206
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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