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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Central Park at East Bay Eviction Risk: Lower , Clearwater

Tract 12103025407 · Pinellas, FL · pop 5,537 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 12103025407 covers part of the Central Park at East Bay area of Largo, FL, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,537. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 17% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,389
Renter share36.0%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$73,767

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Central Park at East Bay
Very Low
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 31 tracts In Clearwater
Very Low
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#182 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#3,381 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Clearwater and the region

Centroid at 27.9254, -82.7557 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Park at East Bay scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Clearwater
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,438 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clearwater
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clearwater
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clearwater
6.9

How Central Park at East Bay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central Park at East Bay risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0254073.4Clearwaterparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 976Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 7.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.5%Peak (2007)
  • 29Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12103025407
Filings climbed 21% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 150Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.78×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Park at East Bay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Park at East Bay

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 976 eviction filings across 18 observed years.

At $1,438 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Largo commands. Filings peaked in 2007 at 15.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.3% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.3/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103025407

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025407?

Census tract 12103025407 in the Central Park at East Bay neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103025407?

Median gross rent is $1,438/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025407?

3.5% of residents in tract 12103025407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,537.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025407?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 25th, minority 42th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 12103025407 considered part of Central Park at East Bay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025407 fall within Central Park at East Bay (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025407?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 976 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025407 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.29% of renter households, peaking at 15.5% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103025407 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.78× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103025407 compare to Clearwater overall?

Tract 12103025407 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Clearwater at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Clearwater

Top eight tracts in Clearwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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