Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #69,002 of 84,120 nationally
Central Park at East Bay Eviction Risk: Lower , Clearwater
Tract 12103025407 · Pinellas, FL · pop 5,537 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12103025407 (Central Park at East Bay in Clearwater, Florida) comes in at 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 47th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,438 monthly, set against $73,767 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,389
Renter share36.0%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$73,767
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clearwater and the region
Centroid at 27.9254, -82.7557 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Park at East Bay scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clearwater
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,438 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clearwater
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clearwater
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clearwater
6.9
How Central Park at East Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 976Total filings over 18 yrs
- 7.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.5%Peak (2007)
- 29Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 21% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 150Total filings 2020-21
- 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.78×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central Park at East Bay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central Park at East Bay
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.78x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 976 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 7.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.5% of renter households in 2007.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025407
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025407?
Census tract 12103025407 in the Central Park at East Bay neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025407?
Median gross rent is $1,438/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025407?
3.5% of residents in tract 12103025407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,537.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025407?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 25th, minority 42th, housing 36th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025407 considered part of Central Park at East Bay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025407 fall within Central Park at East Bay (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025407?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 976 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025407 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.29% of renter households, peaking at 15.5% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025407 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.78× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103025407 compare to Clearwater overall?
Tract 12103025407 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Clearwater at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Clearwater
Top eight tracts in Clearwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Rosery
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Bayside Court
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
The Rosery
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
The Rosery
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Kings Manor
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103025305
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103025307
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103025311
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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