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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,261 of 84,120 nationally

Central Park at East Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate , Clearwater

Tract 12103025401 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,960 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 4.5/10 for census tract 12103025401 reflects conditions in the Central Park at East Bay area of Clearwater, Florida. That is riskier than roughly 24% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

62% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,628 monthly, set against $72,202 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 14% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,134
Renter share36.2%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$72,202

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Central Park at East Bay
Very High
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 40 tracts In Clearwater
Low
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#107 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Elevated
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,916 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Clearwater and the region

Centroid at 27.9403, -82.7535 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Park at East Bay scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Clearwater
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,628 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clearwater
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5

How Central Park at East Bay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central Park at East Bay risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 025401Clearwater: 2.62.6Clearwaterparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 449Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 4.88%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.5%Peak (2001)
  • 17Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121030254012000: 55 filings (9.98/100 renter HHs)2001: 58 filings (10.53/100 renter HHs)2002: 30 filings (5.44/100 renter HHs)2003: 53 filings (9.62/100 renter HHs)2004: 47 filings (8.53/100 renter HHs)2005: 15 filings (3.71/100 renter HHs)2006: 28 filings (6.93/100 renter HHs)2007: 8 filings (1.98/100 renter HHs)2008: 10 filings (2.48/100 renter HHs)2009: 19 filings (4.70/100 renter HHs)2010: 11 filings (2.96/100 renter HHs)2011: 11 filings (1.87/100 renter HHs)2012: 2 filings (0.34/100 renter HHs)2013: 8 filings (1.36/100 renter HHs)2014: 23 filings (3.91/100 renter HHs)2015: 25 filings (4.25/100 renter HHs)2016: 29 filings (5.84/100 renter HHs)2017: 17 filings (3.42/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 69% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 113Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.79×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (1.23× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 6 filings (3.43× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2021-02-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-09-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2021-10-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (5.33× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-09-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2022-10-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-06-01: 6 filings (8.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-11-01: 6 filings (4.80× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2024-10-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-07-01: 6 filings (2.40× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2025-10-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Park at East Bay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Park at East Bay

The heaviest input here is housing court bias at 3.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 449 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 4.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.5% of renter households in 2001.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103025401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025401?

Census tract 12103025401 in the Central Park at East Bay neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103025401?

Median gross rent is $1,628/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025401?

12.9% of residents in tract 12103025401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,960.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 43th, minority 34th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 12103025401 considered part of Central Park at East Bay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025401 fall within Central Park at East Bay (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025401?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 449 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.88% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103025401 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103025401 compare to Clearwater overall?

Tract 12103025401 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Clearwater at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Clearwater

Top eight tracts in Clearwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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