Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Tarpon Springs
Tract 12103027308 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,081 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
The Forest Ridge area of Tarpon Springs is where census tract 12103027308 sits, home to 4,081 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.2/10. On the national scale it ranks #44,841 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $962 monthly, set against $61,953 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 18% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,704
Renter share17.7%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate16.7%
Median income$61,953
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tarpon Springs and the region
Centroid at 28.1659, -82.7546 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Ridge scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.7% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$962 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
6.7
How Forest Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 682Total filings over 18 yrs
- 12.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.7%Peak (2015)
- 33Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 450% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 131Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.47×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Ridge
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tarpon Springs, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 682 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 12.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.7% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103027308
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027308?
Census tract 12103027308 in the Forest Ridge neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103027308?
Median gross rent is $962/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027308?
16.7% of residents in tract 12103027308 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,081.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027308?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 85th, minority 38th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 12103027308 considered part of Forest Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027308 fall within Forest Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027308?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 682 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103027308 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.46% of renter households, peaking at 15.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103027308 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.47× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103027308 compare to Tarpon Springs overall?
Tract 12103027308 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Tarpon Springs at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tarpon Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tarpon Springs
Top eight tracts in Tarpon Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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