Tract 12105012307 Eviction Risk: Moderate

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, local political climate reads 1.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

The filing record is not thin: 351 evictions over 17 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2001, when 113.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 36.3% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Polk County average of 3.9 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,164 a month. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $63,995.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.