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Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 12105012307 Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105012307 · Polk, FL · pop 3,068

For landlords sizing up Polk, census tract 12105012307 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. It lands near the 16th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 22% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,164 a month against an average household income of $63,995 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 9% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units951
Renter share12.0%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$63,995

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#79 of 174 tracts In Polk
Moderate
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,537 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,389 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Polk and the region

Centroid at 28.2024, -81.9556 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 12105012307 scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,164 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Tract 12105012307 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tract 12105012307 risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 012307County: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 351Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 36.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 113.0%Peak (2001)
  • 9Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050123072000: 34 filings (87.30/100 renter HHs)2001: 44 filings (112.97/100 renter HHs)2002: 28 filings (71.89/100 renter HHs)2003: 24 filings (61.62/100 renter HHs)2004: 21 filings (53.92/100 renter HHs)2005: 26 filings (45.54/100 renter HHs)2007: 39 filings (68.31/100 renter HHs)2008: 23 filings (40.29/100 renter HHs)2009: 15 filings (26.27/100 renter HHs)2010: 4 filings (2.23/100 renter HHs)2011: 23 filings (10.85/100 renter HHs)2012: 16 filings (7.55/100 renter HHs)2013: 11 filings (5.19/100 renter HHs)2014: 15 filings (7.08/100 renter HHs)2015: 6 filings (2.83/100 renter HHs)2016: 13 filings (7.88/100 renter HHs)2017: 9 filings (5.45/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 74% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 12105012307

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Florida eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Polk County average of 5.0 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 351 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 36.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 113.0% of renter households in 2001.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012307

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012307?

Census tract 12105012307 in Polk scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105012307?

Median gross rent is $1,164/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012307?

19.8% of residents in tract 12105012307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,068.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012307?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 92th, minority 30th, housing 11th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105012307?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 351 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105012307 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 36.30% of renter households, peaking at 113.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
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