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Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Haines City Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105012702 · Polk, FL · pop 4,034 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Haines City

Census tract 12105012702 covers part of Haines City, FL, and scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,034 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 14% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,949
Renter share31.1%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate19.1%
Median income$48,038

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Haines City
Moderate
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#65 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#2,145 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#47,371 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Haines City and the region

Centroid at 28.1018, -81.6399 · click any tract to drill in

Why Haines City scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Haines City
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.1% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,024 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Haines City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Haines City
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Haines City
2.4

How Haines City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Haines City risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 0127023.2Haines Cityparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Haines City

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10. Cost burden runs 56% here against 45.8% across Polk County. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 26.2% against 11.3% nationally. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Average gross rent is $1,024, 16% below the Haines City average. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Polk County average of 3.9 closely. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $48,038.

31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012702?

Census tract 12105012702 in Haines City scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105012702?

Median gross rent is $1,024/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012702?

19.1% of residents in tract 12105012702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,034.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 88th, minority 76th, housing 74th.
Q5

How does tract 12105012702 compare to Haines City overall?

Tract 12105012702 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Haines City at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Haines City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Haines City

Top eight tracts in Haines City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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