Census Tract · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Poinciana Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105014126 · Polk, FL · pop 3,993 · 94% of tract blocks fall in Poinciana

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12105014126 (Poinciana, Florida) comes in at 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 69% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 68% of renter households, a severe level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,564 monthly, set against $56,056 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 17% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 5% Owners 83%

Tract context

Occupied units1,537

Renter share17.3%

SVI overall0.78

Poverty rate13.1%

Median income$56,056

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Poinciana and the region

Centroid at 28.0580, -81.5139 · click any tract to drill in

Why Poinciana scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Poinciana

4.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

13.1% poverty · this tract

3.3

Supply constraint

$1,564 rent vs county FMR

6.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Poinciana

9.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Poinciana

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Poinciana

7.8

How Poinciana compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

79%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
87%Racial/ethnic minority
23%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Poinciana

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Poinciana eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105014126

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014126?

Census tract 12105014126 in Poinciana scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12105014126?

Median gross rent is $1,564/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014126?

13.1% of residents in tract 12105014126 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,993.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014126?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 98th, minority 87th, housing 23th.

How does tract 12105014126 compare to Poinciana overall?

Tract 12105014126 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Poinciana at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Poinciana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Poinciana

Top eight tracts in Poinciana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.