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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Willow Oak Eviction Risk: Lower , Fuller Heights

Tract 12105014905 · Polk, FL · pop 2,277 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12105014905 (the Willow Oak neighborhood of Fuller Heights, Florida) comes in at 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 54% of US census tracts.

63% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,284 monthly, set against $77,989 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 13% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units693
Renter share35.9%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate21.3%
Median income$77,989

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Willow Oak
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Fuller Heights
Very High
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#106 of 174 tracts In Polk
Low
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#2,206 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fuller Heights and the region

Centroid at 27.9199, -82.0071 · click any tract to drill in

Why Willow Oak scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fuller Heights
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.3% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,284 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fuller Heights
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fuller Heights
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fuller Heights
4.5

How Willow Oak compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Willow Oak risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 014905Fuller Heights: 2.22.2Fuller Heightsparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Willow Oak. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Willow Oak

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fuller Heights, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105014905

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014905?

Census tract 12105014905 in the Willow Oak neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105014905?

Median gross rent is $1,284/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014905?

21.3% of residents in tract 12105014905 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,277.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014905?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 35th, minority 73th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 12105014905 considered part of Willow Oak?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12105014905 fall within Willow Oak (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12105014905 compare to Fuller Heights overall?

Tract 12105014905 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fuller Heights at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fuller Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fuller Heights

Top eight tracts in Fuller Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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