Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Willow Oak Eviction Risk: Lower , Fuller Heights
Tract 12105014903 · Polk, FL · pop 2,616 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
12105014903 is a census tract in the Willow Oak area of Willow Oak, FL. It scores 3.1/10 for landlords. 23% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Polk County average of 45.8%.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units712
Renter share21.1%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$73,942
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fuller Heights and the region
Centroid at 27.9113, -82.0343 · click any tract to drill in
Why Willow Oak scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fuller Heights
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,264 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fuller Heights
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fuller Heights
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fuller Heights
7.3
How Willow Oak compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Willow Oak. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Willow Oak
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 22.6% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 0.8 points below the Polk County average of 3.9.
Average gross rent is $1,264, 13% above the Willow Oak average. Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $73,942.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105014903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014903?
Census tract 12105014903 in the Willow Oak neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105014903?
Median gross rent is $1,264/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014903?
7.8% of residents in tract 12105014903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,616.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 77th, minority 62th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 12105014903 considered part of Willow Oak?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12105014903 fall within Willow Oak (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12105014903 compare to Fuller Heights overall?
Tract 12105014903 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Fuller Heights at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fuller Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fuller Heights
Top eight tracts in Fuller Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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