Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally
Southgate Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12115001602 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,933 · 75% of tract blocks fall in Southgate
Census tract 12115001602 covers Southgate, home to 3,933 residents. For landlords it grades 4.7/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 29th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,456 a month against an average household income of $71,322 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 34% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,042
Renter share33.9%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$71,322
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
25
th percentile
Low
National
21
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Southgate and the region
Centroid at 27.3020, -82.5004 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southgate scores 2.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Southgate
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,456 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Southgate
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Southgate
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Southgate
5.8
How Southgate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 104Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.7%Peak (2002)
- 13Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southgate
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Southgate, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 104 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 3.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.7% of renter households in 2002.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115001602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001602?
Census tract 12115001602 in Southgate scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115001602?
Median gross rent is $1,456/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001602?
5.0% of residents in tract 12115001602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,933.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 45th, minority 32th, housing 37th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115001602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 104 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115001602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.57% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12115001602 compare to Southgate overall?
Tract 12115001602 scores 2.5/10, higher than the parent city of Southgate at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Southgate; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Southgate
Top eight tracts in Southgate ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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