Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

The HIlls of Lake Mary Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12117020602 · Seminole, FL · pop 6,586 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 12117020602 covers part of the The HIlls of Lake Mary area of Sanford, FL, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,586 residents. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 25% Owners 48%

Tract context

Occupied units2,850

Renter share51.8%

SVI overall0.21

Poverty rate6.2%

Median income$82,630

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Mary and the region

Centroid at 28.7890, -81.3338 · click any tract to drill in

Why The HIlls of Lake Mary scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lake Mary

5.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

6.2% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$1,919 rent vs county FMR

4.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lake Mary

8.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lake Mary

9.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lake Mary

7.5

How The HIlls of Lake Mary compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

41%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
61%Racial/ethnic minority
28%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The HIlls of Lake Mary. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The HIlls of Lake Mary

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

At $1,919 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Sanford commands. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 53% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Seminole County average of 4.2 closely.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $82,630. 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12117020602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117020602?

Census tract 12117020602 in the The HIlls of Lake Mary neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12117020602?

Median gross rent is $1,919/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12117020602?

6.2% of residents in tract 12117020602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,586.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12117020602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 4th, minority 61th, housing 28th.

Is tract 12117020602 considered part of The HIlls of Lake Mary?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12117020602 fall within The HIlls of Lake Mary (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 12117020602 compare to Lake Mary overall?

Tract 12117020602 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Lake Mary at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Mary; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Mary

Top eight tracts in Lake Mary ranked by composite eviction-risk score.