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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Mary Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12117020811 · Seminole, FL · pop 6,873 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 12117020811 sits in the Lake Mary area of Lake Mary, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. Population here is 6,873. 31% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Seminole County average of 52.5%.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 32% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,822
Renter share46.4%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$98,036

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Lake Mary
Very Low
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Lake Mary
High
Within county
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 89 tracts In Seminole
Low
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#2,707 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Mary and the region

Centroid at 28.7408, -81.3487 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Mary scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Mary
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,876 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Mary
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Mary
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Mary
4.2

How Lake Mary compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Mary risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 0208114.0Lake Maryparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lake Mary. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Mary

Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.2/10.

At $1,876 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Lake Mary commands. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.6/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Seminole County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $98,036.

46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12117020811

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117020811?

Census tract 12117020811 in the Lake Mary neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12117020811?

Median gross rent is $1,876/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12117020811?

9.0% of residents in tract 12117020811 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,873.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12117020811?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 78th, minority 54th, housing 34th.
Q5

Is tract 12117020811 considered part of Lake Mary?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12117020811 fall within Lake Mary (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12117020811 compare to Lake Mary overall?

Tract 12117020811 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Mary at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Mary; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Mary

Top eight tracts in Lake Mary ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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