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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Mary Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12117020812 · Seminole, FL · pop 4,660 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.2/10 for census tract 12117020812 reflects conditions in the Lake Mary neighborhood of Lake Mary, Florida. It lands near the 47th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,891 monthly, set against $62,813 in average yearly household income, roughly 36% of income at the averages. About 71% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 29% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,466
Renter share71.1%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$62,813

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Lake Mary
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Lake Mary
Very High
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 89 tracts In Seminole
Elevated
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#2,737 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Mary and the region

Centroid at 28.7503, -81.3451 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Mary scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Mary
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,891 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Mary
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Mary
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Mary
4.2

How Lake Mary compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Mary risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 020812Lake Mary: 2.02.0Lake Maryparent cityCounty: 2.92.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lake Mary. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Mary

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Mary, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Seminole County average of 5.2 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12117020812

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117020812?

Census tract 12117020812 in the Lake Mary neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12117020812?

Median gross rent is $1,891/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12117020812?

12.2% of residents in tract 12117020812 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,660.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12117020812?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 29th, minority 69th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 12117020812 considered part of Lake Mary?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12117020812 fall within Lake Mary (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12117020812 compare to Lake Mary overall?

Tract 12117020812 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lake Mary at 2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Mary; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Mary

Top eight tracts in Lake Mary ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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