Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Mary Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12117020812 · Seminole, FL · pop 4,660 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
12117020812 is a census tract in the Lake Mary area of Lake Mary, FL. It scores 5/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,660 residents. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,466
Renter share71.1%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$62,813
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Mary and the region
Centroid at 28.7503, -81.3451 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Mary scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Mary
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,891 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Mary
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Mary
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Mary
4.2
How Lake Mary compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lake Mary. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Mary
The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $62,813 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Cost burden runs 59% here against 52.5% across Seminole County.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.2/10. It sits 0.8 points above the Seminole County average of 4.2. At $1,891 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Lake Mary commands.
On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12117020812
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117020812?
Census tract 12117020812 in the Lake Mary neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12117020812?
Median gross rent is $1,891/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12117020812?
12.2% of residents in tract 12117020812 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,660.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12117020812?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 29th, minority 69th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 12117020812 considered part of Lake Mary?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12117020812 fall within Lake Mary (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12117020812 compare to Lake Mary overall?
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Mary
Top eight tracts in Lake Mary ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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