Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Casselberry Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12117022104 · Seminole, FL · pop 6,101 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 12117022104 covers part of the Casselberry area of Casselberry, FL, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,101. The severe-burden share is 49%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 7% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,689
Renter share18.5%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate14.8%
Median income$61,490

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Casselberry
Very High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 9 tracts In Casselberry
High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#18 of 89 tracts In Seminole
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#431 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Casselberry and the region

Centroid at 28.6641, -81.3149 · click any tract to drill in

Why Casselberry scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casselberry
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.8% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,728 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casselberry
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casselberry
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casselberry
7.4

How Casselberry compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Casselberry risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 0221044.2Casselberryparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Casselberry. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Casselberry

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $61,490, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10.

Cost burden runs 62% here against 52.5% across Seminole County. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Seminole County average of 4.2.

That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,728, close to the Casselberry average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12117022104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117022104?

Census tract 12117022104 in the Casselberry neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12117022104?

Median gross rent is $1,728/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12117022104?

14.8% of residents in tract 12117022104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,101.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12117022104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 43th, minority 57th, housing 15th.
Q5

Is tract 12117022104 considered part of Casselberry?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12117022104 fall within Casselberry (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12117022104 compare to Casselberry overall?

Tract 12117022104 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Casselberry at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casselberry; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casselberry

Top eight tracts in Casselberry ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related