Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Lost Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Casselberry

Tract 12117022106 · Seminole, FL · pop 8,357 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Eviction risk in Lost Creek in Casselberry centers on tract 12117022106, which scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 8,357 residents. It lands near the 50th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

39% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,741 a month while the average household earns $77,192 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

3.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 19% Owners 69%

Tract context

Occupied units3,327

Renter share30.6%

SVI overall0.44

Poverty rate13.8%

Median income$77,192

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Casselberry and the region

Centroid at 28.6508, -81.2934 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lost Creek scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Casselberry

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

13.8% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

$1,741 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Casselberry

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Casselberry

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Casselberry

7.4

How Lost Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

45%Socioeconomic
68%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
25%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lost Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lost Creek

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Casselberry, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Seminole County average of 5.2 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12117022106

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117022106?

Census tract 12117022106 in the Lost Creek neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12117022106?

Median gross rent is $1,741/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12117022106?

13.8% of residents in tract 12117022106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,357.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12117022106?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 68th, minority 51th, housing 25th.

Is tract 12117022106 considered part of Lost Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12117022106 fall within Lost Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 12117022106 compare to Casselberry overall?

Tract 12117022106 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Casselberry at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casselberry; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casselberry

Top eight tracts in Casselberry ranked by composite eviction-risk score.