Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Lost Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Casselberry

Tract 12117022206 · Seminole, FL · pop 6,117 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

12117022206 is a census tract in the Lost Creek area of Casselberry, FL. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,117 residents. Against Seminole County at 52.5%, 68% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 13% Owners 59%

Tract context

Occupied units2,734

Renter share41.3%

SVI overall0.60

Poverty rate12.2%

Median income$73,313

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Casselberry and the region

Centroid at 28.6317, -81.3025 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lost Creek scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Casselberry

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

12.2% poverty · this tract

3.0

Supply constraint

$1,728 rent vs county FMR

3.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Casselberry

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Casselberry

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Casselberry

7.4

How Lost Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

57%Socioeconomic
57%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
56%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lost Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lost Creek

The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10.

Against the Seminole County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.

Average gross rent is $1,728, close to the Casselberry average. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $73,313.

41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12117022206

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117022206?

Census tract 12117022206 in the Lost Creek neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12117022206?

Median gross rent is $1,728/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12117022206?

12.2% of residents in tract 12117022206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,117.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12117022206?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 57th, minority 56th, housing 56th.

Is tract 12117022206 considered part of Lost Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12117022206 fall within Lost Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 12117022206 compare to Casselberry overall?

Tract 12117022206 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Casselberry at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casselberry; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casselberry

Top eight tracts in Casselberry ranked by composite eviction-risk score.