The Villages Eviction Risk: Lower

Set annual rent against average income of $59,104 and the ratio lands at 71%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. At $3,501 a month, rents run 151% over what the rest of The Villages commands.

The voucher gap is 155.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.6/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Sumter County average of 3.8 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.