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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Holly Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12127080901 · Volusia, FL · pop 4,773 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 12127080901 sits in the Holly Hill area of Holly Hill, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. Population here is 4,773. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 27% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,195
Renter share51.7%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate26.4%
Median income$48,463

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Holly Hill
Very High
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Holly Hill
Elevated
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 129 tracts In Volusia
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#213 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Holly Hill and the region

Centroid at 29.2489, -81.0581 · click any tract to drill in

Why Holly Hill scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Holly Hill
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.4% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,433 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Holly Hill
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Holly Hill
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Holly Hill
8.5

How Holly Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Holly Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.9This tracttract 0809014.5Holly Hillparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 171Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 5.88%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak (2017)
  • 56Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2016 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12127080901
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Holly Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Holly Hill

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.7/10. It sits 2.1 points above the Volusia County average of 3.8.

Set annual rent against average income of $48,463 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.5/10.

The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 171 evictions over 3 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2017 at 6.3% of renter households.

In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12127080901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12127080901?

Census tract 12127080901 in the Holly Hill neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12127080901?

Median gross rent is $1,433/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12127080901?

26.4% of residents in tract 12127080901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,773.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12127080901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 98th, minority 56th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 12127080901 considered part of Holly Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12127080901 fall within Holly Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12127080901?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 171 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 12127080901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.88% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12127080901 compare to Holly Hill overall?

Tract 12127080901 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Holly Hill at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Holly Hill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Holly Hill

Top eight tracts in Holly Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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