Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Holly Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12127081002 · Volusia, FL · pop 2,549 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 5.9/10, tract 12127081002 in the Holly Hill area of Holly Hill, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,549 residents. Severe burden reaches 44%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,154
Renter share38.1%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate22.4%
Median income$37,339
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Holly Hill and the region
Centroid at 29.2374, -81.0331 · click any tract to drill in
Why Holly Hill scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Holly Hill
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.4% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,174 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Holly Hill
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Holly Hill
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Holly Hill
8.5
How Holly Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Holly Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Holly Hill
Against Volusia County at 49.8%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.7/10. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $37,339, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Against the Volusia County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.5/10.
The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. At $1,174 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Holly Hill commands.
Nationally it ranks #19,618 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12127081002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12127081002?
Census tract 12127081002 in the Holly Hill neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12127081002?
Median gross rent is $1,174/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12127081002?
22.4% of residents in tract 12127081002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,549.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12127081002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 94th, minority 48th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 12127081002 considered part of Holly Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12127081002 fall within Holly Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12127081002 compare to Holly Hill overall?
Tract 12127081002 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Holly Hill at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Holly Hill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Holly Hill
Top eight tracts in Holly Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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