Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Holly Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12127080902 · Volusia, FL · pop 3,626 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 12127080902 covers part of the Holly Hill area of Holly Hill, FL, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,626 residents. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,608
Renter share28.2%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate18.3%
Median income$52,763
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Holly Hill and the region
Centroid at 29.2343, -81.0467 · click any tract to drill in
Why Holly Hill scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Holly Hill
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.3% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,349 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Holly Hill
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Holly Hill
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Holly Hill
8.5
How Holly Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 128Total filings over 3 yrs
- 7.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.5%Peak (2016)
- 42Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Holly Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Holly Hill
What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.7/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Against the Volusia County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 128 evictions over 3 years of observation. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Volusia County average of 49.8%.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 8.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 7.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,349, close to the Holly Hill average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $52,763.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12127080902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12127080902?
Census tract 12127080902 in the Holly Hill neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12127080902?
Median gross rent is $1,349/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12127080902?
18.3% of residents in tract 12127080902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,626.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12127080902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 60th, minority 53th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 12127080902 considered part of Holly Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12127080902 fall within Holly Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12127080902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 128 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 12127080902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.59% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12127080902 compare to Holly Hill overall?
Tract 12127080902 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Holly Hill at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Holly Hill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Holly Hill
Top eight tracts in Holly Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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