Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

South Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Atlanta

Tract 13121003500 · Fulton County, GA · pop 2,904 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 13121003500 covers part of the South Downtown area of Atlanta, GA, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,904. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 31% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,622
Renter share83.0%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate43.3%
Median income$53,420

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In South Downtown
Moderate
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#17 of 180 tracts In Atlanta
Very High
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#59 of 327 tracts In Fulton County
High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#210 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Atlanta and the region

Centroid at 33.7509, -84.3917 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Downtown scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Atlanta
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
43.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,802 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atlanta
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atlanta
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atlanta
4.0

How South Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0035004.3Atlantaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 760Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 35.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 45.5%Peak (2003)
  • 98Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 13121003500
Filings dropped 52% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 2,162Total filings 2020-21
  • 28.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Atlanta, GA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Downtown

Cost burden runs 63% here against 46.8% across Fulton County. The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10.

Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $53,420, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is renter territory: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Fulton County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.

Housing insecurity runs 25.4% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The filing record is not thin: 760 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2003 at 45.5% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 13121003500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13121003500?

Census tract 13121003500 in the South Downtown neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13121003500?

Median gross rent is $1,802/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13121003500?

43.3% of residents in tract 13121003500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,904.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13121003500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 1th, minority 87th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 13121003500 considered part of South Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13121003500 fall within South Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13121003500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 760 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 13121003500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 35.38% of renter households, peaking at 45.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 13121003500 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 13121003500 compare to Atlanta overall?

Tract 13121003500 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Atlanta at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atlanta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 13121003500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Atlanta

Top eight tracts in Atlanta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related