Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Elmwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , College Park
Tract 13121011000 · Fulton County, GA · pop 2,711 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 13121011000 covers the Elmwood area of College Park, home to 2,711 residents. For landlords it grades 6.3/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than about 83% of US census tracts.
About 32% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,085 monthly, set against $47,933 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units989
Renter share51.4%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$47,933
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across College Park and the region
Centroid at 33.6743, -84.4270 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elmwood scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from College Park
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,085 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from College Park
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from College Park
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from College Park
8.2
How Elmwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 31%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 902Total filings over 5 yrs
- 22.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 30.9%Peak (2001)
- 133Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 53% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 613Total filings 2020-21
- 8.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Atlanta, GA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elmwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.0%Housing insecurity
- 18.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.5%Food insecurity
- 30.1%SNAP enrollment
- 17.0%Transit barriers
- 20.6%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 37.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elmwood
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from College Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fulton County average of 5.7 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 27.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 31% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 13121011000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13121011000?
Census tract 13121011000 in the Elmwood neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13121011000?
Median gross rent is $1,085/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13121011000?
19.8% of residents in tract 13121011000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,711.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13121011000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 92th, minority 91th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 13121011000 considered part of Elmwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13121011000 fall within Elmwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13121011000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 902 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 13121011000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.31% of renter households, peaking at 30.9% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 13121011000 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 13121011000 compare to College Park overall?
Tract 13121011000 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of College Park at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from College Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 13121011000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 31% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in College Park
Top eight tracts in College Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · GA
Red Wing Cove
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
13121011310
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Elmwood
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · GA
Red Wing Cove
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · GA
Tyler Perry Studios Soundstages
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · GA
Sun Valley
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · GA
Tyler Perry Studios Soundstages
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · GA
13121011301
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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