Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Elmwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , College Park
Tract 13121012300 · Fulton County, GA · pop 2,400 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
The Elevated-tier score of 6.5/10 for census tract 13121012300 reflects conditions in the Elmwood neighborhood of College Park, Georgia. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $985 monthly, set against $49,855 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,186
Renter share63.1%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$49,855
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across College Park and the region
Centroid at 33.6613, -84.4395 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elmwood scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from College Park
8.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$985 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from College Park
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from College Park
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from College Park
7.9
How Elmwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 36%Grade C
- 16%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,082Total filings over 5 yrs
- 29.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.2%Peak (2001)
- 192Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 612Total filings 2020-21
- 8.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Atlanta, GA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elmwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.8%Housing insecurity
- 11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.5%Food insecurity
- 15.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.3%Transit barriers
- 11.1%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elmwood
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from College Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fulton County average of 5.7 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 16% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 13121012300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13121012300?
Census tract 13121012300 in the Elmwood neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13121012300?
Median gross rent is $985/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13121012300?
10.6% of residents in tract 13121012300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,400.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13121012300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 5th, minority 78th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 13121012300 considered part of Elmwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13121012300 fall within Elmwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13121012300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,082 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 13121012300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 29.86% of renter households, peaking at 25.2% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 13121012300 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 13121012300 compare to College Park overall?
Tract 13121012300 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of College Park at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from College Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 13121012300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 16% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in College Park
Top eight tracts in College Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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