Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Elmwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , College Park
Tract 13121011202 · Fulton County, GA · pop 4,294 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 13121011202 (Elmwood in College Park, Georgia) comes in at $1/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #4,478 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 62% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,325 a month while the average household earns $56,790 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 49% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units2,285
Renter share49.4%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate24.7%
Median income$56,790
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across College Park and the region
Centroid at 33.6772, -84.4503 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elmwood scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from College Park
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
24.7% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,325 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from College Park
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from College Park
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from College Park
8.2
How Elmwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 41%Grade C
- 6%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,558Total filings over 5 yrs
- 30.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 34.6%Peak (2016)
- 346Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,325Total filings 2020-21
- 17.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Atlanta, GA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elmwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.5%Housing insecurity
- 15.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.7%Food insecurity
- 24.4%SNAP enrollment
- 14.0%Transit barriers
- 15.4%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 31.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elmwood
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from College Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fulton County average of 5.7 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 22.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 13121011202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13121011202?
Census tract 13121011202 in the Elmwood neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13121011202?
Median gross rent is $1,325/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13121011202?
24.7% of residents in tract 13121011202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,294.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13121011202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 21th, minority 81th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 13121011202 considered part of Elmwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13121011202 fall within Elmwood (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13121011202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,558 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 13121011202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.39% of renter households, peaking at 34.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 13121011202 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 13121011202 compare to College Park overall?
Tract 13121011202 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of College Park at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from College Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 13121011202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in College Park
Top eight tracts in College Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · GA
Red Wing Cove
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
13121011310
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Elmwood
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · GA
Red Wing Cove
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · GA
Tyler Perry Studios Soundstages
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · GA
Sun Valley
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · GA
Tyler Perry Studios Soundstages
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · GA
13121011301
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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