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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,150 of 84,120 nationally

Elmwood Eviction Risk: Elevated , College Park

Tract 13121011202 · Fulton County, GA · pop 4,294 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 13121011202 sits in the Elmwood neighborhood of College Park, Georgia. It has a population of 4,294 and an eviction-risk score of 7.0/10 (Elevated tier). 62% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 17% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,325/month against a median household income of $56,790 — roughly 28% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
7.0
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 19% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units2,285
Renter share49.4%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate24.7%
Median income$56,790

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 5 tracts In Elmwood
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank — 80th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 11 tracts In College Park
High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank — 99th percentileBottomTop
#4 of 327 tracts In Fulton County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank — 97th percentileBottomTop
#93 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across College Park and the region

Centroid at 33.6772, -84.4503 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmwood scores 7.0

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from College Park
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
24.7% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,325 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from College Park
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from College Park
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from College Park
8.2

How Elmwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elmwood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.07.0This tracttract 011202College Park: 7.37.3College Parkparent cityCounty: 5.75.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C — Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,558Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 30.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 34.6%Peak (2016)
  • 346Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 131210112022001: 320 filings (27.75/100 renter HHs)2003: 245 filings (21.25/100 renter HHs)2014: 318 filings (33.58/100 renter HHs)2015: 329 filings (34.74/100 renter HHs)2016: 346 filings (34.63/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,325Total filings 2020-21
  • 17.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 — 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 33 filings (330.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 18 filings (180.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 14 filings (140.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 15 filings (150.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 13 filings (130.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 12 filings (120.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 18 filings (180.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 15 filings (150.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 18 filings (180.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 12 filings (120.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 18 filings (180.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 25 filings (250.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 16 filings (160.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 14 filings (140.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 13 filings (130.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 26 filings (260.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 19 filings (190.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 20 filings (200.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 11 filings (110.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 14 filings (140.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 17 filings (170.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 20 filings (200.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 15 filings (150.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 23 filings (230.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 18 filings (180.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 19 filings (190.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 19 filings (190.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 17 filings (170.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 22 filings (220.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 13 filings (130.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 23 filings (230.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 12 filings (120.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 14 filings (140.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 19 filings (190.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 30 filings (300.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 14 filings (140.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 11 filings (110.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 22 filings (220.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 13 filings (130.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 13 filings (130.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 11 filings (110.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 20 filings (200.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 22 filings (220.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 16 filings (160.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 30 filings (300.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 18 filings (180.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 13 filings (130.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 28 filings (280.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 20 filings (200.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 45 filings (450.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 20 filings (200.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 24 filings (240.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 16 filings (160.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 16 filings (160.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 24 filings (240.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 24 filings (240.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 39 filings (390.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 26 filings (260.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 14 filings (140.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 18 filings (180.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 38 filings (380.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 19 filings (190.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 19 filings (190.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 28 filings (280.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Atlanta, GA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 13121011202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13121011202?

Census tract 13121011202 in the Elmwood neighborhood scores 7.0/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13121011202?

Median gross rent is $1,325/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13121011202?

24.7% of residents in tract 13121011202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,294.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13121011202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 21th, minority 81th, housing 67th.

Q5

Is tract 13121011202 considered part of Elmwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13121011202 fall within Elmwood (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13121011202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,558 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 13121011202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.39% of renter households, peaking at 34.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 13121011202 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.8% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 13121011202 compare to College Park overall?

Tract 13121011202 scores 7.0/10 — lower than the parent city of College Park at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from College Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 13121011202 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in College Park

Top eight tracts in College Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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