Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
South Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Warner Robins
Tract 13153021120 ·
Houston County, GA · pop 5,004 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 4.2/10, tract 13153021120 in the South Oaks area of Warner Robins, GA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,004. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.3/10.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%Stable renters 24%Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,056
Renter share35.3%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate15.1%
Median income$72,796
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In South Oaks
Very High
Within parent city
58th percentile
#12 of 27 tracts In Warner Robins
Elevated
Within county
57th percentile
#17 of 38 tracts In Houston County
Elevated
Within state
57th percentile
#1,207 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Warner Robins and the region
Centroid at 32.5694, -83.6401 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Oaks scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Warner Robins
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
15.1% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,563 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warner Robins
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warner Robins
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warner Robins
2.5
How South Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
34%Socioeconomic
59%Household composition
61%Racial/ethnic minority
11%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.1%Housing insecurity
8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
14.4%Food insecurity
11.1%SNAP enrollment
8.2%Transit barriers
10.1%No health insurance
17.0%Frequent mental distress
29.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Oaks
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. At $1,563 a month, rents run 29% over what the rest of Warner Robins commands. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.
Against Houston County at 40.0%, 31% of renters here are cost-burdened. The voucher gap is 20.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Houston County average of 3.9 closely.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $72,796. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 13153021120
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13153021120?
Census tract 13153021120 in the South Oaks neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13153021120?
Median gross rent is $1,563/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13153021120?
15.1% of residents in tract 13153021120 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,004.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13153021120?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 59th, minority 61th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 13153021120 considered part of South Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13153021120 fall within South Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 13153021120 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 13153021120 compare to Warner Robins overall?
Tract 13153021120 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Warner Robins at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warner Robins eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Warner Robins
Top eight tracts in Warner Robins ranked by composite eviction-risk score.