Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Forrestwood Estates Eviction Risk: Elevated , Valdosta

Tract 13185010403 · Lowndes County, GA · pop 3,111 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Here is how census tract 13185010403, in the Forrestwood Estates neighborhood of Valdosta eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.8/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,111. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 52% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,039 monthly, set against $46,875 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 26% Owners 45%

Tract context

Occupied units957

Renter share55.4%

SVI overall0.78

Poverty rate26.8%

Median income$46,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Valdosta and the region

Centroid at 30.8656, -83.2607 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forrestwood Estates scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Valdosta

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.4

State political climate

Georgia legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

26.8% poverty · this tract

6.7

Supply constraint

$1,039 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Valdosta

7.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Valdosta

9.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Valdosta

8.1

How Forrestwood Estates compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
21%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
63%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

26.9%Housing insecurity
18.7%Utility-shutoff threat
31.8%Food insecurity
29.5%SNAP enrollment
16.7%Transit barriers
15.2%No health insurance
21.1%Frequent mental distress
36.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forrestwood Estates

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Valdosta eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lowndes County average of 6.1 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 13185010403

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13185010403?

Census tract 13185010403 in the Forrestwood Estates neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 13185010403?

Median gross rent is $1,039/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 13185010403?

26.8% of residents in tract 13185010403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,111.

How socially vulnerable is tract 13185010403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 21th, minority 90th, housing 63th.

Is tract 13185010403 considered part of Forrestwood Estates?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13185010403 fall within Forrestwood Estates (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 13185010403 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 13185010403 compare to Valdosta overall?

Tract 13185010403 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Valdosta at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valdosta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Valdosta

Top eight tracts in Valdosta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.