Tract 13185010403 ·
Lowndes County, GA · pop 3,111 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 13185010403 covers part of the Forrestwood Estates area of Valdosta, GA, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%Stable renters 26%Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units957
Renter share55.4%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate26.8%
Median income$46,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Forrestwood Estates
Moderate
Within parent city
53th percentile
#9 of 18 tracts In Valdosta
Moderate
Within county
71th percentile
#9 of 29 tracts In Lowndes County
Elevated
Within state
98th percentile
#49 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Valdosta and the region
Centroid at 30.8656, -83.2607 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forrestwood Estates scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Valdosta
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
26.8% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,039 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valdosta
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valdosta
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valdosta
8.1
How Forrestwood Estates compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
94%Socioeconomic
21%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
63%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
26.9%Housing insecurity
18.7%Utility-shutoff threat
31.8%Food insecurity
29.5%SNAP enrollment
16.7%Transit barriers
15.2%No health insurance
21.1%Frequent mental distress
36.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forrestwood Estates
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10. Against Lowndes County at 42.1%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 1.7 points above the Lowndes County average of 4.9.
SNAP participation runs 29.5% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.1/10.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #14,906 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.1/10. Statewide the GA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,039, close to the Valdosta average.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $46,875.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 13185010403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13185010403?
Census tract 13185010403 in the Forrestwood Estates neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13185010403?
Median gross rent is $1,039/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13185010403?
26.8% of residents in tract 13185010403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,111.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13185010403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 21th, minority 90th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 13185010403 considered part of Forrestwood Estates?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13185010403 fall within Forrestwood Estates (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 13185010403 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 13185010403 compare to Valdosta overall?
Tract 13185010403 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Valdosta at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valdosta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Valdosta
Top eight tracts in Valdosta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.